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Global Political Analysis

Growling Gorilla vs. Sly Fox – Trade War Without Endgame

Thursday, 31 July 2025, written by Andy Langenkamp

From Seoul to São Paulo the tariff storm rages, but its eye sits squarely over Beijing. Will Trump unleash economic shock therapy, extend the 90‑day pause for China, or finally strike a deal that reshapes the world’s most critical relationship?

This report is published: Bi-weekly

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Previous reports

The Fall-Out of the EU-US Tariff Truce - From Handshake to Headwind

Monday, 28 July 2025

A 15% tariff. Hundreds of billions in trade. A deal hailed as peace, but rather it is a fragile transaction hiding deeper shifts. Read our special update about the untold story beneath the surface.

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A painful verdict from bond markets in the offing?

Thursday, 17 July 2025

Rising interest rates are a global phenomenon — the common thread: markets flashing red over the (un)sustainability of public finances. There are three possible roads to debt discipline. But which path will each country take — and what will that mean for the markets?

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Trump’s Magnum Opus – One Bill to Rule Them All

Thursday, 03 July 2025

The One Big Beautiful Bill represents one of the most ambitious and controversial legislative initiatives in recent U.S. history. In a single, sweeping package, the Republican Party under Trump aims to cement its economic and social vision. How will its implementation and the reactions of voters and markets unfold?

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Analysis on request and consultancy

In today’s complex, volatile, and interconnected business and investing environment, decision-makers often find it challenging to sift effectively through the vast amounts of data about (geo)political, financial, and economic risks. Our Global Political Analysis reports and Bi-Weekly insights cut through the noise to help you understand the political risks ahead. For clients needing customized analysis, monitoring, scenarios, and forecasts, we provide various consultancy services and offer analysis upon request. 

Feel free to reach out to our Senior Political Analyst, Andy Langenkamp to discuss your options.