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Subject:

Technical Trend Outlook

S&P 500 index: A House Divided

Thursday, 26 February 2026, written by Henk-Jan Pijper

The S&P 500 still consolidates in a prolonged sideways range, where broad participation is counterbalanced by mega-cap weakness. When will this unresolved battle ends?
 

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Previous reports

Nikkei-225: Overextended and ripe for a pullback

Thursday, 12 February 2026

The Japan index keeps hitting record highs but the risk of a correction is high and increasing...

 

What’s more in this report:

  • Very broad US stock market breadth is supportive of the S&P 500 bull case but the (relative) underperformance of big tech still raises cautionary flags.
  • Silver: A very significant ‘blow-off’ top is. What's next?
  • US and German 10-year yield: The waiting game continues.
  • Crude oil: WTI seems poised for a larger upmove. A firm rise above $66 will likely trigger a larger rally phase.
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Precious metals: The final surge

Thursday, 29 January 2026

How much more precious can they get? The vertical price acceleration, sky-high volatility, and exhaustion behavior signal major correction risk for gold and silver. Concretely, we expect an upcoming correction of several tens of percent..

 

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Breakout or bull trap? A critical moment for the S&P 500

Thursday, 15 January 2026

The S&P 500 is at a make-or-break moment: Either a confirmed breakout towards significantly higher levels - or a failed move that could open the door to a meaningful correction...

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