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Subject:

Technical Trend Outlook

US stock market: Bullish, but increasingly fragile

Thursday, 08 October 2026, written by Henk-Jan Pijper

On the surface, the S&P 500 index appears to be continuing its uptrend towards 8,000 and potentially 8,500 in the months ahead, but market breadth has deteriorated to a significant degree: the index is reaching new highs while the majority of constituents are in downtrends and participation has collapsed. Combined with record tech concentration and unusually low demand for downside protection, this leaves the market increasingly vulnerable to a sudden setback…

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