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Currencies Outlook

Dollar bears’ patience put to the test

Monday, 06 October 2025, written by Edward Markus

Renewed political turmoil in France and the prospect of a more expansive fiscal policy in Japan are causing increased volatility on the currency markets at the start of this week. The dollar is benefiting, despite the prospect of further interest rate cuts by the Fed. How long will this last?

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Previous reports

EUR/USD & GBP hedging perspective

Tuesday, 30 September 2025

The US and the UK have large twin deficits and are therefore dependent on foreign capital. Due to concerns about growth and political uncertainty, the UK is struggling to attract sufficient foreign capital, resulting in rising interest rates and a falling pound. Is this a precursor for the US and the dollar?
 

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Euro to keep rising?

Monday, 22 September 2025

Will the dollar become an even weaker currency now that the Fed is starting to prioritize growth over fighting inflation?

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EUR/USD & GBP hedging perspective

Tuesday, 16 September 2025

The ECB sets a high bar for further rate cuts, while markets expect multiple Fed cuts. EUR/USD is poised to rise, but how long will this upward trend last?

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