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Currencies Outlook

EUR/USD & GBP hedging perspective

Tuesday, 10 December 2024, written by Eddy Markus

The European economy is barely growing while Trump’s administration is expected to cut taxes, deregulate the economy and reduce immigration. In short, plenty of reasons to expect the ECB to cut rates faster than the Fed. Why, then, is the decline in EUR/USD still fairly limited? 
 

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Previous reports

The ECB is under sharply mounting pressure

Monday, 02 December 2024

The European economy is battered by negative developments while Trump's expected policies are seen as positive for the US economy and dollar. This increases pressure on the ECB to sharply ease monetary policy, but does the central bank have the room to do so and what does this mean for EUR/USD?
 

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EUR/USD & GBP hedging perspective

Tuesday, 26 November 2024

Trump wants to significantly boost growth via tax cuts. At the same time, he wants to restrict the supply side of the economy by imposing import tariffs and expelling illegal immigrants. How will the Fed react and what does this mean for EUR/USD?

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MUGA: Make USD Great Again

Monday, 18 November 2024

The resounding Republican election victory allows Trump to make his mark on US foreign, trade and economic policies. Will his ‘America first’ stance also lead to an even stronger dollar?
 

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Past Predictions

Readers frequently inquire about the accuracy of our predictions and whether we track them. Naturally, we don't possess a crystal ball, and the primary objective of our analyses is to present our readers with the most probable scenarios in the medium term. However, we do provide specific exchange rate predictions and in general they have been quite accurate. 

Download our forecasts for EUR/USD and EUR/GBP for the period from January to December 2023 here below. 

 

See Past Predictions