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Global Financial Markets

Markets are increasing expectations of a Republican Victory

Thursday, 17 October 2024, written by Eddy Markus

Markets are increasingly discounting a clean sweep by the Republicans (laying claim to the White House and both houses of Congress). Whatever the election outcome, the impact on financial markets will be substantial.
 

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Previous reports

Public deficits are becoming increasingly problematic

Thursday, 03 October 2024

Two major consensus expectations now prevail in financial markets that we do not share.

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A soft landing with prolonged low growth

Thursday, 19 September 2024

Financial markets - especially equities - reacted positively to the Fed's first rate cut in four years. How long will the optimism last?
 

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Low growth and high public deficits

Thursday, 05 September 2024

We think the markets are off with their expectations of the degree of growth softening and the amount and pace of interest rate cuts by the Fed in particular. This means we could see some surprises in financial markets in the near future. 

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