The U.S. is entangled in an implicit currency union with Asia, with mounting economic drawbacks. Trump's push to address this is constrained by China's control over the USD/CNY exchange rate, and his limited tools are creating their own economic fallout. Meanwhile, China faces growing incentives to revalue the yuan, increasing pressure for a free-floating USD/CNY. How will this seismic shift reshape financial markets over the next decade?

Authoritative institutions such as the OECD are lowering their growth forecasts for the economy and especially for the U.S. economy. Normally, weaker growth leads to a decent drop in interest rates, but a number of structural factors make another scenario for interest rates more likely..

After a V-shaped recovery, will major stock markets climb a 'wall of worry' as in 2021, or are we on the brink of a 2000-2001-style decline? We explore whether long-term rates will hit new highs and how this shapes tactical asset allocation.