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Tactical Asset Allocation

Stock market correction in the offing

Thursday, 29 February 2024, written by Maarten Spek

Since October, equities have performed much better than we (and many others) had expected. Nevertheless, we think a significant correction in many equity indices is near and in this month’s report w...

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Previous reports

SAA, Washington, Beijing and Vienna

Wednesday, 31 January 2024

Despite the prevailing expectation of a soft landing for the economy and new all-time highs for various stock indices, we still think the remaining upside for risky asset prices is limited. However, neither do we see a reason to expect a risk-off phase in the coming weeks. 

2024: a transition year or a redux of 2023?

Wednesday, 03 January 2024

Financial markets have enjoyed two positive surprises this year; a more resilient economy and a faster decline in inflation than expected. Investors are betting that the good times will continue in 2024, but there are several reasons why we believe this is a risky bet..

AI mania and/or hard landing?

Thursday, 30 November 2023

Investors are discounting a soft economic landing, but there are several possible scenarios with widely different outcomes for financial markets. In this month's Asset Allocation, we discuss three of these scenarios, as well as the possibility of a growing AI mania and how we position the asset allocation accordingly.

A word from the author

"In this report I answer the question How would ECR invest? We express our views by indicating exactly how much we want to underweight or overweight each asset class relative to the Strategic Asset Allocation. The approach is fundamental and chart-technical combined with valuation metrics. It is a bridge between our mid-term macro views and your tactical asset allocation decisions. I'm always pleased to hear readers tell me it's been an  invaluable resource for their investment committee meetings as it provides a comprehensive insight and guidance in team their discussions. This is exactly what we want to achieve with this report"

Maarten Spek, Global Macro & Investment Strategist


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